Sunday, October 11, 2009

Suggested Schedule For Lazy Investing

There are many blogs, news outlets, and advice channels providing the average Joe with a constant stream of financial news, opinions, and noise. What is a good way for a normal person to deal with all this information?

As horrible as it may sound, I would recommend that anyone who is serious about managing his own investments start by ignoring it all until he understands the subject matter. If you take the matter seriously, you can educate yourself quite thoroughly in 6 months to a year. Maybe that sounds like a long time, but it's a huge money-saver if your alternative is to pay someone 1% of your assets to manage your investments for the next 30+ years of your life.

How do you know that you've gotten to a point where you understand your investments? A test is to ask yourself whether you understand how a product is priced, what different parts make up the cost of owning that product, who issues the product and why, how liquid is it, what are the risk factors and how risky is it compared to other products, what is the expected return, what do you actually own, how can the product be taken away from you other than your selling it?

Understanding your investments is one part of freeing yourself from the constant barrage of questionable financial advice. Have a scan through some financial articles. You will find them peppered with non-committal words like "could", "maybe", and "looks like" with regards to current events. This is not really a knock against the articles themselves, since nobody knows for sure how things will pan out. However, once you understand your investments, you will be able to read these articles as opinion pieces instead of concrete tips.

Next, learn about investing history. Learn about the mass hysteria that has gripped investors in the past. Most people don't bother to learn about history and we find ourselves getting tripped up by similar problems later on. Our memories are so short that we even manage to crash the markets twice in the same lifetime.

[The above two points are very well covered and expanded upon in William Bernstein's book, "The Four Pillars of Investing". His four pillars are:
  1. Theory of Investing
  2. History of investing (how did people handle things before)
  3. Behaviour of Investing (how your can emotions ruin your chance for success)
  4. Business of Investing (how the mutual fund / brokerage / middleman industry bleeds you dry).]
Read books that are based on scientific research. "Educating" yourself by reading about hot investing methods that have no repeatable success is a waste of time.

So you understand investment products, you know how the markets can act, and you know how you should behave. Now is the time to form a plan. Spend some time to make it a good plan based on your researched knowledge, and then implement your plan. Just as it's not a good idea to invest without a plan that you understand, it's also not worth it to hold off executing a good plan because you are searching for the perfect one. Except in hindsight, there is no perfect plan.

You now have a plan, probably for your retirement that is many years away. If you've done a good job educating yourself, and you have confidence in your plan, you're free to let your plan run. If you want to continue learning more, by all means go ahead. If you like reading blogs and keeping up with the news, you now know enough to separate the good stuff from the noise. Tweak your plan every 6 or 12 months, and use the rest of your time to do something that will bring you better returns in some other area of your life.